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Understanding "Sequestration"If you like political drama, you're in luck. It seems like just
      yesterday the news was filled with references to the fiscal cliff. Now,
      coming to theaters everywhere, is "sequestration." Look for
      more political confrontation to unfold as sequestration gets under way.
 
 
What exactly is sequestration?"Sequestration" refers to a series of automatic,
      across-the-board spending cuts to federal government agencies that are
      scheduled to take place in fiscal years 2013 through 2021. The cuts,
      totaling $1.2 trillion, will be split evenly between defense and domestic
      discretionary spending. The cuts are effective March 1. (The cuts were
      originally scheduled to take effect January 1 but were postponed to March
      1 as part of the last-minute fiscal cliff deal reached on New Year's
      Day.) 
 
How did sequestration come into being?Sequestration was created from the August 2011 standoff over the U.S.
      debt ceiling. In conjunction with agreeing to raise the debt ceiling
      (which allowed the U.S. Treasury to pay its monetary obligations and
      avoid a default), Congress imposed approximately $2 trillion worth of
      spending cuts--$1 trillion that was spelled out in the debt ceiling bill
      (the Budget Control Act of 2011) and another approximately $1 trillion
      that would be implemented through sequestration--a broad,
      across-the-board series of default spending cuts that would take effect
      beginning in 2013. The idea was that sequestration would be a measure of last resort, and
      that Congress could act to replace the sequestration cuts with an equal amount
      of alternate spending reductions. Indeed, the Budget Control Act of 2011
      created a deficit reduction "supercommittee" that was charged
      with reaching consensus on additional budget cuts that would avoid
      sequestration. The supercommittee failed, paving the way for
      sequestration to take effect.
 
 
What's going to be cut?The automatic cuts are effective March 1, 2013. From 2013 through
      2021, sequestration is scheduled to cut $1.2 trillion from government
      agencies, split evenly between defense and domestic programs. More than
      $500 billion is scheduled to be cut from the Defense Department and other
      national security agencies. The remaining cuts will affect a variety of
      domestic programs, including education, public safety, energy, national
      parks, food inspections, housing aid, transportation, and law
      enforcement. Social Security, Medicaid, and Medicare benefits are exempt from
      sequestration. Although cuts to Medicare provider payments are on the
      table, they can't exceed 2% of current payments.
 In 2013, the cuts will total $85 billion (sequestration originally
      called for approximately $109 billion in cuts this year, but the American
      Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 reduced the required cuts by $24 billion).
      The Congressional Budget Office estimates that in 2013, funds for defense
      spending (other than spending for military personnel) will be cut by
      about 8%, and nondefense spending subject to automatic reductions will be
      cut by between 5% and 6%. (Source: Congressional Budget Office, The
      Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023, February
      2013)
 You may have heard a great deal about what's going to happen as a
      result of the sequester, and much of it has likely been alarming. It's
      important to understand, though, that the government will not be shutting
      down. In fact, while it's hard to know exactly how things will play out
      as the cuts are implemented, most individuals are probably not going to
      notice a significant, immediate effect. Federal agencies will notify
      employees of possible furloughs, and the Defense Department will do the
      same with civilian employees, but those furloughs likely won't take
      effect for at least a month. In addition to potential layoffs and
      furloughs, individual agencies will begin announcing and implementing
      other cost-saving measures.
 
 
Wait, there's more ...While it hasn't received the same level of attention as sequestration,
      there's another problem rapidly approaching--the government is running
      out of money again. Federal funding for the current fiscal year expires
      on March 27, 2013. Unless Congress authorizes additional funding, a
      partial government shutdown would result. In addition, a few months later, expect another debt ceiling debate.
      The federal government reached its $16.394 trillion debt ceiling limit at
      the end of 2012. Congress subsequently suspended the debt ceiling limit
      until May 19, 2013, and although the U.S. Treasury has some ability to
      continue operations beyond that date, at some point the debt ceiling
      debate will need to be addressed. Thus, it's conceivable that any short-term
      agreement on sequestration would include provisions that address these
      deadlines as well.
 Whether Congress addresses some or all of these issues over the coming
      weeks or months is anyone's guess. So stay tuned. And pass the popcorn.
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So Jack in response to your article here is what I see: 
 1.      Add up all the people who directly and immediately benefit from the government’s largess (e.g. no budget, expanding debt, printing money, legislative pork riders, expanding debit ceiling, artificially low interest rates, expanded social programs, corporate welfare, oil subsidies, misc. special interests, equity investors, a strong military, etc. 
2.     Add  up all the people who directly and immediately benefit from government austerity (increased unemployment, lower profits, less military preparedness, social costs associated with fewer government programs, transfer of legislated activities from the feds to the states, sale of GM stock at a significant loss to gain income, massive housing foreclosures, higher taxes,…)  Oh sorry! I could not identify any segment of society that benefits directly and immediately from government austerity so all I could do was outline some of the impacts. If I have not made the  point here are some more impacts you mentioned, “cuts will affect a variety of domestic programs, including education, public safety, energy, national parks, food inspections, housing aid, transportation, and law enforcement”. 
3.      Although I think it would be good if it did occur, I think your right, “the government will not be shutting down.” 
4.      And as you say, “as the cuts are implemented, most individuals are probably not going to notice a significant, immediate effect.” 
5.       I disagree that, “Whether Congress addresses some or all of these issues over the coming      weeks or months is anyone's guess.  In fact, …. it's hard to know exactly how things will play out”  
6.      When you compare 1 vs. 2 above, unfortunately, there is no compelling reason not to have the government continue to operate out of control. It has been going on in California for decades. Furthermore, look at the city of Detroit. Do you see anyone being held accountable for the mess that city got itself into. Sadly no. 
7.      As long as our leaders are not held personally accountable, people continue to believe in a free lunch. The question then is, when is this bubble going to burst . If you think 2008 was bad, wait until 20XX. Just ask the Spanish or the Greeks. 
Can you believe that I am an optimist?  | 
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